Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 172.624532 200.500056 232.765914 273.188971 322.918786 382.677783 4.608057e+02
2025-07-13 141.580777 178.232276 225.354895 291.665029 384.711108 514.040405 7.138174e+02
2025-07-20 125.347776 166.987038 224.714711 313.330435 451.180570 667.260328 1.053848e+03
2025-07-27 109.668237 152.226512 214.600624 316.898398 489.507810 788.199701 1.395374e+03
2025-08-03 99.217303 142.616258 209.340890 325.358768 536.147115 936.615038 1.860778e+03
2025-08-10 89.445814 132.254352 200.697240 325.655107 567.554146 1066.827223 2.363456e+03
2025-08-17 82.297843 124.856763 195.392774 330.198618 607.540653 1228.917769 3.053218e+03
2025-08-24 75.419530 116.914215 187.808429 328.729739 634.575246 1372.625639 3.806679e+03
2025-08-31 69.788410 110.337027 181.581002 328.497939 664.036085 1534.901709 4.771280e+03
2025-09-07 65.697166 105.911486 178.565260 334.058505 708.349995 1757.803274 6.212803e+03
2025-09-14 59.714032 97.482205 166.961311 319.330401 699.199867 1822.095594 7.064693e+03
2025-09-21 56.084241 92.956793 162.294991 318.978665 727.076449 2017.550577 8.856323e+03
2025-09-28 52.285903 88.120516 157.165928 318.516211 760.286298 2272.227445 1.164654e+04
2025-10-05 50.913945 87.764603 161.156422 340.811319 868.686323 2897.638186 1.903221e+04
2025-10-12 49.891014 87.939094 166.258176 367.230682 1002.922242 3776.765607 3.361067e+04
2025-10-19 47.234365 84.544785 163.125973 371.592328 1067.075477 4406.339160 5.064307e+04
2025-10-26 45.256869 82.311085 162.250176 381.948345 1158.524652 5311.557144 8.421107e+04
2025-11-02 42.824819 78.877301 158.153457 382.311347 1213.134697 6083.570850 1.311725e+05
2025-11-09 40.930918 76.394750 155.962891 387.879353 1292.975888 7178.181082 2.291956e+05
2025-11-16 38.798069 73.194923 151.644095 386.078799 1341.400046 8138.095239 3.836790e+05
2025-11-23 36.933931 70.416517 148.025833 385.794699 1398.069903 9312.927473 7.034253e+05
2025-11-30 35.569397 68.624071 146.655722 392.612916 1494.458831 11151.392475 1.671315e+06
2025-12-07 33.167073 64.302210 138.359533 374.567631 1455.718872 11413.583919 2.429381e+06